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19 October, 16:47

The population of Collin County, which follows the exponential growth model, increased from 491,675 in 2000 to 782,341 in 2010. Find the exponential growth rate, k.

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  1. 19 October, 18:19
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    p=ak^t

    p1=491272*k^0

    p2=782341*k^10

    782341/491272 = k^10

    k=1.047629

    growth rate is 4.7629%

    2012: predicted population is 491272*1.047629^12=858,642 people

    1245863=491272*1.047629^t

    1.047629^k=2.5363599

    ln both sides is k ln 1.0476=ln 2.5363

    t=20.000 years.

    Rule of 72 would say 72/4.76 or 15.12 years for doubling

    14.90 years

    2017 predicted is 491272*1.0476^17 or 1083552, or more than actual, so the rate of growth is slowing down.
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