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18 November, 17:39

An airline knows that 5 percent of the people making reservations on a certain flight will not show up. Consequently, their policy is to sell 52 tickets for a flight that can hold only 50 passengers. What is the probability that there will be a seat available for every passenger who shows up?

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  1. 18 November, 20:27
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    the probability that there will be a seat available for every passenger who shows up is 0.74

    Step-by-step explanation:

    if the probability of choosing a passenger that will not show up is 5%, then the probability of choosing a passenger that will show up is 95%.

    Denoting event X = x passengers will show up from the total of 52 that purchased the ticket

    Then P (X) follows a binomial probability distribution, since each passenger is independent from others. Thus

    P (X) = n! / ((n-x) !*x!) * p^x * (1-p) ^ (n-x)

    where

    n = total number of passengers hat purchased the ticket = 52

    p = probability of choosing a passenger that will show up

    x = number of passengers that will show up

    therefore the probability that the number does not exceed the limit of 50 passengers is:

    P (X≤50) = ∑P (X=i) from i=0 to i=50 = F (50)

    where F (x) is the cumulative binomial probability distribution, then from tables:

    P (X≤50) = F (50) = 0.74

    therefore the probability that there will be a seat available for every passenger who shows up is 0.74
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