Suppose the real risk-free rate is 3.00%, the average expected future inflation rate is 5.90%, and a maturity risk premium of 0.10% per year to maturity applies, i. e., MRP = 0.10% (t), where t is the number of years to maturity. What rate of return would you expect on a 1-year Treasury security, assuming the pure expectations theory is NOT valid? Disregard cross-product terms, i. e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.
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