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7 February, 18:33

Find the probability of a least one birthday match among a group of 44 people.

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  1. 7 February, 21:59
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    0.1137 = 11.37%

    Step-by-step explanation:

    Assuming there are 365 days in one year and every people have 1 birthday, then the chance for two people to have the same birthday is 1/365 and the chance they are not is 364/365. We are asked the chance for at least one match among 44 people. The opposite of the condition is that we have 0 matches and easier to calculate. The calculation will be:

    P (X>=1) = ~P (X=0) = 1

    P (X>=1) = - P (X=0)

    P (X>=1) = 1 - (364/365) ^44

    P (X>=1) = 1 - 0.8862

    P (X>=1) = 11.37%
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