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11 October, 19:06

Three friends (A, B, and C) will participate in a round-robin tournament in which each one plays both of the others. Suppose that

P (A beats B) = 0.4

P (A beats C) = 0.3

P (B beats C) = 0.7

and that the outcomes of the three matches are independent of one another.

(a) What is the probability that A wins both her matches and that B beats C?

(b) What is the probability that A wins both her matches?

(c) What is the probability that A loses both her matches?

(d) What is the probability that each person wins one match? (Hint: There are two different ways for this to happen.)

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  1. 11 October, 22:28
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    (a) P (A BEATS B) * P (A BEATS C) * P (B BEATS C)

    = 0.4*0.3*0.7=0.084

    (b) P (A BEATS B) * P (A BEATS C) = 0.4*0.3=0.12

    (c) P (B BEATS A) * P (C BEATS A) = 0.6*0.7=0.42

    (d) P (A BEATS B) * P (C BEATS A) * P (B BEATS C)

    + P (B BEATS A) * P (A BEATS C) * P (C BEATS B)

    = 0.5*0.7*0.7+0.6*.0.3*0.3=.25
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