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22 November, 13:02

Suppose that 60% of the voters in a state intend to vote for a certain candidate. what is the probability that a survey polling 6 people reveals that at least two intend to vote for that candidate?

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  1. 22 November, 13:48
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    This is a very complete survey at all. I wouldn't trust it. I'm guessing maybe about a 50% chance that this poll would duplicate the more complete poll. I would think that you would have to poll at least 1000 people for a poll like this to be trustworthy. I would sure hope that polls are not taken this way. There are so many polls taken out there now a days. I think besides the number of people surveyed, the other thing that makes a huge difference is how the questions are asked. Many polling questions are very loaded with leading questions.
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