Suppose I play baseball and I have two kinds of superstitions. When I have an amazing game, I try to wear the same socks for the next game. When I have terrible games, I throw away the hat I wore and buy a new one. Then I pay attention to whether I actually do better or worse in the next game. Is one of these rituals more likely to appear to work than the other?

Question

Social Studies

Lisa Huynh

14 June, 05:26

Suppose I play baseball and I have two kinds of superstitions. When I have an amazing game, I try to wear the same socks for the next game. When I have terrible games, I throw away the hat I wore and buy a new one. Then I pay attention to whether I actually do better or worse in the next game. Is one of these rituals more likely to appear to work than the other?

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Answers (1)

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Elsa Klein · Answer 1

d. Yes, probably the hat ritual will seem to work better because of regression to the mean

Explanation:

the correct answer is Yes, probably the hat ritual will seem to work better because of regression to the mean Because This regression suggests that I should do at least a little bit better after a good game and a little worse after a good game. So the rituals I do on terrible days are more effective.